Workplan

WP1:
Analytical Framework

WP2:
Facets of Sustainability

WP3:
Policy Scenarios

WP 4

WP 5

Workpackage 1 - Integrating and extending the analytical framework

Leading partner - IVM

The first workpackage was devoted to develop the analytical framework for consistent scenario building by preparing the core models that are currently available in the TranSust network for the policy simulations.

These core models are augmented by a number of satellite models that are the outcome of the extended sustainability analysis in Workpackage 2. This procedure for providing the analytical framework for the policy simulations reflects the insight that there is no specific model that fits all requirements for a comprehensive and scientifically sound analysis of sustainability issues but rather a package of models and methods depending on the policy measures or issues to be assessed and the availability of data. Since the common evaluation criterion for all types of policy simulations is Impact Assessment (IA), this feature is an essential part in preparing the core models for the joint model applications.


Task 1: Preparing the core models forImpact Assessment (IA) and policy simulations

Leading Partner: ZEW

Activities for preparing the core models for the policy simulations. First, the models are extended, if necessary, as to the list of variables needed for Impact Assessment (IA). Second, matching input variables are defined for the forecasting, simulation, and backcasting analyses.

Task 2: Linking core and extended models

Leading Partner: FEEM

For specific topics, as competitiveness, technological change, economic development and natural resources, options for linking a number of complementary satellite models to the core models are assessed.

Task 3: Sensitivity analysis

Leading Partner: ZEW

Systematic sensitivity analysis is another methodological feature employed for enhancing the robustness and scientific quality of the model simulations.

Task 4: Documentation of simulation methodology and results

Leading Partner: WIFO

For the sake of transparency and reproducibility all stages of the simulation exercises are thoroughly documented and made available on the TranSust website.